Conflict, food inflation, and climate change astime-varying determinants of food availability in Somalia: Evidence from machine-learning and VARtechniques

A new study published in Cogent Food & Agriculture examines how conflict, food inflation, and climate change have shaped food availability in Somalia over the past two decades. Using monthly data from 2001–2021, the researchers combine machine-learning models with vector autoregression and time-varying Granger causality to assess how the relative importance of t