Testing the load capacity curve hypothesis accounting for energy consumption and water use pressure in climate-vulnerable Somalia
his study investigates how economic growth, energy consumption, urbanization, investment, and water-use pressure are affecting ecological sustainability in Somalia. Using annual data from 1990–2022, the authors provide the first empirical test of the Load Capacity Curve hypothesis for Somalia, applying a Fourier ARDL model alongside unit-root and Granger-causality a
Conflict, food inflation, and climate change astime-varying determinants of food availability in Somalia: Evidence from machine-learning and VARtechniques
A new study published in Cogent Food & Agriculture examines how conflict, food inflation, and climate change have shaped food availability in Somalia over the past two decades. Using monthly data from 2001–2021, the researchers combine machine-learning models with vector autoregression and time-varying Granger causality to assess how the relative importance of t
Ecological capacity in water-stressed Somalia underglobalization, institutional change and human capitaldevelopment
A new study published in Scientific Reports examines how globalization, water stress, institutional quality, and human capital shape Somalia’s ecological sustainability. Using annual data from 1990–2020, the study applies the Load Capacity Factor to assess the balance between the country’s ecological resources and environmental demand. The findings show that glo
Agricultural development and food production in East Africa: The role ofwater availability, environmental degradation, and institutional quality
How can East Africa produce more food while facing growing water scarcity, climate pressures, and institutional challenges? A new study examines agricultural production across 15 East African countries between 2002 and 2022, revealing that investment in agricultural development and reliable water availability are the strongest drivers of increased food production. The
An Integrated Approach to Sustainable Food Production Systems: A Case Study of Somalia
A newly published study by researchers from the Institute of Climate and Environment (ICE) and the Faculty of Economics explores the structural factors shaping food production in Somalia. Moving beyond conventional agricultural perspectives, the research examines how fisheries, industrial development, governance quality, and income inequality interact to influence lon
Do globalization, foreign direct investment, and inflation drive income inequality? Evidence from Somalia within the Kuznets curve hypothesis
Income inequality remains one of Somalia’s most pressing socio-economic challenges. A new study (1990–2020) investigates how globalization, foreign direct investment (FDI), inflation, and other structural factors shape inequality within the framework of the Kuznets curve hypothesis. Using advanced econometric methods—including ARDL bounds testing, Kernel-based R
Accelerating Sustainable Transformation in Sub-Saharan Africa: The Role of Clean Energy, Digitalization, FDI, and Industrialization
Balancing economic growth with environmental sustainability remains a defining challenge for Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). A recent study investigates how clean energy, digitalization, foreign direct investment (FDI), and industrialization influence ecological outcomes across 38 SSA countries between 2001 and 2020. Using advanced econometric techniques, the research uncov
Does food inflation exacerbate poverty in the Arab world? Assessing the impact of rural development and institutional quality
Rising food prices continue to threaten economic stability and social well-being across the Arab world. This study investigates how food inflation influences poverty levels in 14 Arab countries from 2001 to 2020, with a focus on the moderating roles of rural development and institutional quality. Utilizing panel econometric models, including the panel corrected standa
Education for sustainable development in Somalia: do economic growth, energy consumption, and population density affect ecological footprints?
Somalia faces intensifying ecological challenges, from deforestation to energy dependency. A recent study evaluates how education, energy consumption, population density, and economic growth impact Somalia’s ecological footprint from 1990 to 2020. Using ARDL and DOLS econometric models, the research uncovers several critical insights. First, energy consumption—lar
Modeling the impacts of energy consumption, ICT, industrialization, and urbanization on Somalia’s environmental sustainability: a hybrid approach using dynamic ARDL and KRLS methods
A study featured in Discover Sustainability provides important insights into the forces driving environmental change in Somalia. Led by scholars from the Institute of Climate and Environment (ICE) and SIMAD University, the research applies a dynamic blend of econometric and machine learning methods—specifically dynamic ARDL modeling and Kernel-Based Regularized Leas